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Prediction for CME (2021-11-24T14:09:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-11-24T14:09ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18362/-1 CME Note: Visible in the SW in STEREO A COR2 and in the S in SOHO LASCO C2. Associated with an eruption near S30E20. Dimming and post-eruptive arcades visible in SDO AIA 171/193/304 and EUVIA 195/304 beginning 2021-11-24T13:00Z. CME arrival marked by a sudden increase in B total, which reached 17 nT. Density and temperature also increased during the shock and pileup. The solar wind increased from 300 km/s to 380 km/s during the shock. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-11-27T21:50Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-11-27T17:02Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 76.6667% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.2 - 5.0 Prediction Method: Average of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -27287.10 hour(s) Difference: 4.80 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z |
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